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Global economy 'dangerously close' to a recession: World Bank_我的网站

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A | Washington, Oct 14 (UNI) The global economy is "dangerously close" to a recession, as inflation remains elevated, interest rates rise, and growing debt burden hits the developing world, World Bank President David Malpass said.

"We've lowered our 2023 growth forecast from 3 per cent to 1.9 per cent for the global growth, that's dangerously close to a world recession," Malpass on Thursday said at a press conference during the IMF and World Bank annual meetings.

"All of the problems that people have taken note of, the inflation problem, the interest rate rises, and the cutoff of capital flow to developing world hit the poor hard," he said, highlighting the buildup of debt for developing countries.

"That's a world recessions could happen under certain circumstances," Malpass said.

In a study published in mid-September, the World Bank warned that as central banks across the world simultaneously hike interest rates in response to inflation, the world may be edging toward a global recession in 2023, with a growth forecast of only 0.5 per cent.

The World Bank chief noted at the press conference that world population growth is estimated at 1.1 per cent per year. "So if you get much slower in terms of world growth, that means people are going backward," Malpass said in response to a question from Xinhua.

Citing a recent World Bank report, Malpass said that Covid-19 pandemic dealt the biggest setback to global poverty-reduction efforts since 1990, pushing about 70 million people into extreme poverty in 2020, and the war in Ukraine threatens to make matters worse.

According to the Poverty and Shared Prosperity Report, global median income declined by 4 per cent in 2020, the first decline since its measurements of median income began in 1990.

"So if we have a world recession now, that would also depress median income, meaning that the people in the lower half of the income scale are going down," Malpass said.

The World Bank chief also noted that he has been concerned about the concentration of capital in the world in the top end of the advanced economies.

"So that's, I think, one of the issues that the world has to deal with to allow capital to flow to new businesses and to developing countries, that would take a change in the direction of fiscal and monetary policies in the advanced economies," said Malpass.

The world is facing very challenging environment from the advanced economies, and that has serious implications, dangers for the developing countries, he said. "My deep concern is that these conditions and trends might persist into 2023 and 2024."

UNI/XINHUA PRT。　　太原8月25日电 (记者李庭耀)25日，运城市委副书记、市长姚逊在中共山西省委宣传部、山西省人民政府新闻办公室举办的开局起步“十五五”系列主题新闻发布会表示，运城将聚力打造国家级铝镁精深加工产业集群。图为山西省运城市闻喜县镁基新材料及精深加工企业生产车间。　温徐旺摄　　运城是国内铝镁产业重要聚集地。运城市委常委、副市长孙鹏程给出的一组数据显示，运城市铝镁行业规上企业现有47家，氧化铝产能351万吨、电解铝产能42万吨、金属镁产能25万吨，分别占全省14%、30%、76%。闻喜县镁基新材料及精深加工产业集群去年被评为100个国家级中小企业特色产业集群之一。　　孙鹏程表示，“十五五”时期，运城将紧扣智能化、绿色化、融合化发展方向，延展产业链条、强化创新生态、坚持绿色低碳，全力推动铝镁新材料产业链向价值链中高端跃升。　　“我们将持续强化资源保障能力，深入实施国家找矿突破战略行动，加强铝土矿、白云石等关键矿产资源勘查与储备，同时积极建设再生铝镁产业基地，构建‘原生＋再生’产业发展格局。”孙鹏程介绍，在产品端，将引导企业向精深加工延伸，大力发展高强高韧铝合金、高性能镁合金、超薄电子铝箔等高附加值产品。在应用端，瞄准人工智能、具身机器人等前沿领域，开发轻量化、高强度、耐腐蚀的新型铝镁材料，大力招引下游应用头部企业和配套企业，打响运城铝镁新材料区域品牌。

B | 图为山西省运城市闻喜县生产的镁合金汽车轮毂。　温徐旺摄　　目前，运城铝镁产业拥有3家国家级企业技术中心、1家省级技术创新中心。孙鹏程介绍，运城将建强研发体系，重点建设运营好国家、省级企业技术中心、重点实验室，加快推进中铝山西新材料牵头组建山西省铝合金新材料创新联合体(试点)，支持镁合金汽车零部件轻量化公共技术创新中心建设。　　同时，运城要持续用好“揭榜挂帅”机制，围绕高强铝镁合金、特种铝箔等“卡脖子”技术，突破一批制约产业发展的关键技术瓶颈。并持续强化运城市有色(镁)产业研究院平台作用，串联科研院所、高校和企业，完善“研发—中试—量产”全链条服务体系，加速科技成果从实验室走向生产线。　　孙鹏程表示，运城将统筹能耗、环保要素配置，推动产业绿色低碳转型。加强绿色矿山建设，坚持“边开采、边治理、边修复”原则。

C | 在冶炼加工环节，严格执行能效标杆水平，有序淘汰低效能老旧装备，降低单位产品能耗和碳排放强度。此外，鼓励有绿电需求的企业推动绿电直连示范项目建设，推动绿电资源就地转化，助力产业绿色低碳转型。

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